Presentation

Presentation: MSI Webinar: The Confidence Curve: Why Satisfied Customers Leave (And How to Stop Them)

Matthew Rocklage, Ph.D.

Northeastern University

Oct 9, 2025

Marketers believe satisfaction drives loyalty. But what if satisfaction is only part of the story? Using linguistic analysis across 30 years, 100,000 consumers, and 4 million online reviews, this webinarreveals the role of consumer confidence in brand loyalty and product switching. Across diverse domains, we find that as consumers gain experience, confidence doesn’t just increase or decrease. Instead, it follows a more nuanced pattern that helps explain why even satisfied customers defect. This session offers practical takeaways for identifying when customers are vulnerable to switching, how to frame product offerings based on confidence signals, and ideas for building certainty alongside satisfaction. 

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