Working Paper
Demystifying Disruption: A New Model for Understanding and Predicting Disruptive Technologies
Jan 1, 2010
Develops a schema to explain the dynamics of competition between new and dominant technologies; defines types of technologies, two types of attacks (lower and upper), and three domains of market disruption (technology, firm, and demand). Tests a correlated hazards model using historical data on 36 platform technologies from seven markets, and proposes a predictive model.